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Value Young And Priming Players Tenet

Hey Jacob.

Great Evaluation And Analysis

  • I think you really do a great job of evaluating players and coming up with different analysis or ideas for teams or players, to understand the value of players or make possible changes and adjustments.
  • It's really fun to hear your thoughts on players or trades, and in particular I think your draft prospect bullet point breakdowns are an excellent example of that.
  • In terms of evaluating players, one thing I think that I look at extremely differently than you is ages of players, and in particular young players who might be truly valuable or even untouchable, and also when players are going to be entering or in their prime.

Potential Of Young Players

  • Lowry was 26, about 3 years older than Barnes is now, when he was traded to the Raptors and he wasn't that great of a player yet, being traded for a future first round pick.
  • Masai didn't want to include the young Siakam or Anunoby in the Kawhi trade, and they were basically nothings on offense at about age 23 and 21 after each averaged about 7 points the previous year.
  • Josh Giddey is still just 22 and he already shot 38% 3PT on 4 3PA this year while Caruso shot 35% on 3 3PA.
  • James Harden was about 23 and playing on the bench for OKC the previous year when he was traded to Houston.
  • Shai was a bit younger at about 21 when he was traded away after his 10 PPG rookie year along with a 20 PPG Danilo Gallinari and about 5 first round picks for a 28 year old Paul George.
  • Barnes is just 23, already won rookie of the year, and has already been an All-Star, so he'll just be entering his age 24 season next year!

Continued... >

Then Play Flagg At Center

If the Raptors end up getting Cooper Flagg in the NBA draft and keep Poeltl, then I think they should move Poeltl to the bench and start Flagg or Barnes at center, with the goal of getting more shooting into both the starting lineup and the bench.

My Lineup

  • Quickley, Agbaji, Ingram, Barnes, Flagg
  • Walter, Barrett, Dick, Boucher, Poeltl

Notes

  • More shooting starting, and Boucher to win
  • RJ or Poeltl play more than Agbaji most games
  • Barrett to bench for handling and scoring
  • Battle is the 11th guy for more shooting

Raptors Path Forward 2024

Raptors Offseason Strategy Path 2024

Here's a plan for the Raptors going forward, focused on getting all players who are the best 3PT shooters, deprioritizing great athletic defenders unless they'll shoot great too, and leave passing for the best passers on the team to setup 3PT shooters.

Strategy

TLDR - Shooting Yes, Defense Less, Passing Bests

  • Build the team around everyone being a great shooter except for Barnes and Chomche
  • So, focus less on defense, with defense being best possible only IF they can shoot great
  • Put ball in hands of natural best passers like Barnes/Quickley, Mitchell/Mogbo for now
  • So, focus less on everyone needing to pass in future, less turnovers, and 3PT specialists
  • Keep PG/SG/SF/PF/C players who can be 40% 3PT shooters, defense 2nd skill hopefully
  • Keep PF/C players who can be 35% 3PT shooters, defense 2nd skill important for C

Plan

TLDR - Lose This Year, Trade Poor Shooters, Get Great Shooters

  • Lose for 1 year and get high 2025 draft pick
  • Trade veterans and all poor shooters for young players/picks who are best shooters
  • Play the young players more so you lose this year
  • Make everyone take catch and shoot 3s, even Mitchell/Mogbo/Chomche/etc.
  • Focus on getting the best young 3PT shooters
  • Get best defense you can while having everyone shoot, and only great passers pass
  • 2024 Raptors Draft Trade Idea

Continued... >

Nickname Scottie Barnes "Lion"

I think "Lion" or "The Lion" would be a great nickname for Scottie Barnes.

  • He attacks at close range but can surprise you from distance
  • He is fast and can glide across the court at high speeds
  • He has the size and skills to be a King Of The Jungle
  • He works together with a coalition and likes to Roarrrr
  • He protects the other players and people that are in his team
  • The nickname isn't too well-known or used by someone else

Raptors Rebuilding Too Quickley?

I wonder if Raptors may be too good to get high 2025 pick, especially with Poeltl/Brown/Boucher. Mitchell/Agbaji/Vezenkov/Olynyk are older. Mogbo/Shead/Carlson are older prospects who can play now. Dick/Walter are young but can shoot. Barnes/Quickley/Barrett are poised to breakout.

  • Jordan 3, Pippen 5, Grant 10, *Harper 8
  • Robinson 1, Elliott 3, Duncan 1
  • Tatum 3, Brown 3, Smart 6, *Irving 1
  • DeRozan 8, Valanciunas 5, Ross 8
  • Curry 7, Thompson 11, Barnes 7, *Bogut 1
  • Barnes 4, ???, ???, *Barrett 3

NBA Standings Predictions 2023-24

Here are my predictions for the 2023-2024 NBA standings, ranked by western and eastern conferences.

Western Conference

  • 1 - Phoenix Suns
  • 2 - Denver Nuggets
  • 3 - Golden State Warriors
  • 4 - New Orleans Pelicans
  • 5 - Oklahoma City Thunder
  • 6 - Sacramento Kings
  • ----
  • 7 - Los Angeles Clippers
  • 8 - Dallas Mavericks
  • 9 - Minnesota Timberwolves
  • 10 - Houston Rockets
  • ----
  • 11 - Los Angeles Lakers
  • 12 - Portland Trail Blazers
  • 13 - Memphis Grizzlies
  • 14 - San Antonio Spurs
  • 15 - Utah Jazz

Eastern Conference

  • 1 - Boston Celtics
  • 2 - Milwaukee Bucks
  • 3 - Philadelphia 76ers
  • 4 - Toronto Raptors
  • 5 - Cleveland Cavaliers
  • 6 - Miami Heat
  • ----
  • 7 - Indiana Pacers
  • 8 - Atlanta Hawks
  • 9 - Brooklyn Nets
  • 10 - New York Knicks
  • ----
  • 11 - Chicago Bulls
  • 12 - Detroit Pistons
  • 13 - Orlando Magic
  • 14 - Charlotte Hornets
  • 15 - Washington Wizards

Raptors Foresight And Hindsight Path 2023

Here is a summary of the general strengths and weaknesses of Raptors management over the last 10 years, using the benefit of hindsight to note possible major successes and mistakes.

Foresight And Future Of Raptors

  • Idea - Raptors management, scouts, and analysts have had outstanding foresight

Because the Raptors management, scouts, analysts, and coaches have done such an amazing job selecting and developing players, the Raptors should still have a good team this year and going forward, even after losing VanVleet in free agency. Overall, the Raptors have had an otherworldly level of decision making, player development, and culture creation in the last 10 years. The Raptors have nailed and appropriately developed more lower draft picks they have made than possibly every other team, not to mention undrafted players. That, along with many other reasons, is why they have the second most wins of any team in the NBA over the last 10 years, while enjoying an incredible run from 2013-2023. The Warriors are the team with the most wins, and it took the Raptors beating them in the Final to get the Raptors their championship.

As I see it, the Raptors and Ujiri have had amazing foresight and good decision making in some general areas from 2013-2023. These areas which have traditionally been great strengths include:

  • Reset Trades - Trading away a poor contract or player to improve - Anthony, Bargnani, Gay
  • Like Trades - Making trades for key players who they like - Ibaka, Leonard, Trent, Poeltl
  • Rebuilding - Rebuilding and growing a lower ranked team from scratch with no stars
  • Developing - Developing all players well beyond their expected ability and value
  • Drafting - Drafting good players who they like - Wright, Siakam, Anunoby, Barnes
  • Signing - Signing undrafted and free agent role players who they like - VanVleet, Boucher
  • Patience - Being patient while players and the team go through ups and downs
  • Chemistry - Creating a culture of team chemistry, working together, and having fun

Continued... >

NBA Standings Predictions 2022-23

Here are my predictions for the 2022-2023 NBA standings, ranked by western and eastern conferences.

Western Conference

  • 1 - Denver Nuggets
  • 2 - Minnesota Timberwolves
  • 3 - Los Angeles Clippers
  • 4 - Golden State Warriors
  • 5 - New Orleans Pelicans
  • 6 - Phoenix Suns
  • ----
  • 7 - Los Angeles Lakers
  • 8 - Memphis Grizzlies
  • 9 - Dallas Mavericks
  • 10 - Sacramento Kings
  • ----
  • 11 - Portland Trail Blazers
  • 12 - Houston Rockets
  • 13 - Utah Jazz
  • 14 - Oklahoma City Thunder
  • 15 - San Antonio Spurs

Eastern Conference

  • 1 - Brooklyn Nets
  • 2 - Philadelphia 76ers
  • 3 - Toronto Raptors
  • 4 - Boston Celtics
  • 5 - Atlanta Hawks
  • 6 - Milwaukee Bucks
  • ----
  • 7 - Cleveland Cavaliers
  • 8 - Miami Heat
  • 9 - Chicago Bulls
  • 10 - Indiana Pacers
  • ----
  • 11 - Charlotte Hornets
  • 12 - Detroit Pistons
  • 13 - Orlando Magic
  • 14 - Washington Wizards
  • 15 - New York Knicks

Raptors Season Strategy Path 2022

Here are my ideas and strategy for the potential lineup, depth chart, and final roster spots for the Toronto Raptors going into the 2022 season, now that they are heading into training camp.

This takes some points from the main ideas I previously noted in "Raptors 2022 offseason lineup changes", which I wrote shortly after the end of the season. They did follow a few of my ideas from that article already, including resigning Boucher, drafting a versatile and athletic center, and signing Champagnie to an NBA deal for now at least. And there have been some rumblings about Achiuwa having an increased role or even possibly starting as I had also crazily suggested.

Notes

  • Make Achiuwa a starter and move Trent to the bench
  • Give Hernangomez the 14th spot as I always thought he would make team
  • Give Jackson the 15th spot over Champagnie as he is athletic and versatile
  • Move Champagnie down to a 2W spot and Dowtin to Raptors 905 contract
  • Make Flynn the backup PG because of good shooting and assists/turnover
  • Play Koloko a lot as a main bench player in the first half of the season

Extras

  • I wonder if Achiuwa's role should eventually be a 3-and-D small forward
  • I wonder if Banton's role should eventually be a playmaking shooting guard
  • Play the bench players much more this year and develop the young guys
  • They likely can't, but try to keep Trent on bench always so he can get 6th man
  • If Trent starts, the bench in my second lineup is a HUGE switchable lineup
  • Thaddeus Young could be a possible small ball center over Koloko sometimes

Continued... >

Raptors Offseason Strategy Path 2022

These ideas do not take into account future FA or trade upgrades.

Notes

  • Make Achiuwa the starting center
  • Move Trent to the bench as 6th man
  • Resign Boucher as backup big
  • Sign Champagnie to NBA deal as 3-and-D bench player
  • Let Thaddeus Young go - Better Shooter or Younger
  • Move Birch to 3rd string 7K contract only - Better Shooter
  • ----
  • Run offense through Barnes and Banton handling ball much more
  • Turn Fred and Malachi into shooters more often than ball handlers
  • Make Fred, OG, Malachi, Gary do catch and shoot 3 PTs mainly
  • Make Fred and Gary shoot only from 3 PT line, not 5 feet back
  • Have Pascal, Prec, Justin, Chris focus on catch and shoot 3 PTs
  • Give ball to Pascal or Gary if near end of shot clock to score
  • ----
  • Draft or add versatile athletic center with shooting potential
  • Bench is Banton, Trent, Champagnie, Boucher, 2nd Rd Pick or FA
  • Play the bench more and rest the starters more in season
  • Playoff 7-8 might be Trent, Boucher, Banton/Champagnie
  • If keep Young, make him small ball center, trade Birch if possible
  • Bench would then be Banton, Trent, Champagnie, Boucher, Young

Lineup Option 1

  • VanVleet - Banton
  • Barnes - Trent
  • Anunoby - Champagnie
  • Siakam - Boucher
  • Achiuwa - Draft Pick / Young / FA

Lineup Option 2

  • VanVleet - Flynn
  • Barnes - Banton
  • Anunoby - Trent
  • Siakam - Champagnie
  • Achiuwa - Boucher

Raptors Ben Simmons Trade Idea 2021

Here are my thoughts and some potential trade options to be involved in a trade for Simmons currently.

Trade Options

  • Raptors - 76ers
  • Ben Simmons - Fred VanVleet
  • Matisse Thybulle - Goran Dragic
  • $8.2M Trade Exception - 2022 1st Rd Pick

Lineup 1

  • PG - Simmons - Flynn - Banton
  • SG - Trent - Mykhailiuk - Wainwright
  • SF - Anunoby - Thybulle - Watanabe
  • PF - Barnes - Bonga - Dekker
  • C - Siakam - Achiuwa - Birch

Continued... >

Raptors Trade And Draft Idea 2021

Hey Ben and Ryker. Do you have any thoughts or feel like discussing this trade and potential roster lineup on an episode?

Here is a link to a super long take with some more thoughts about this idea, which neither of you will probably read at all πŸ˜‰ Have a good one and great work on the new changes to your setup and the show this year guys.

Raptors Digest - 2021 Raptors Trade, Draft, and Lineup

Trade

  • Raptors - 76ers - Magic
  • Jonathan Kuminga: 2021 5th Pick - Fred VanVleet - Ben Simmons
  • Matisse Thybulle - Terrence Ross - 2022 1st Rd: TOR
  • Blank - Paul Watson - 2021 2nd Rd: PHI

Lineup

  • PG - Lowry - Suggs - Flynn
  • SG - Trent - Oladipo/FA - 2nd/Nix
  • SF - Anunoby - Thybulle - Watanabe
  • PF - Siakam - Kuminga - Gillespie
  • C - Boucher - FA/Giles - 2nd/Maker

Continued... >

Raptors Offseason Strategy Path 2020

What

  • Rebuild to the future if can get a top passing and IQ point guard in draft
  • Take on others large contracts and 1-year veterans to still be good this year
  • Open room to move Norm Powell into the starting lineup to be 2nd scorer
  • Put Lowry and VanVleet in good situations to win and make money at home

Why

  • All-in on rebuild with young players and aim for 2021 free agents or star trade
  • Open cap room for 2nd player to come with Giannis to join Siakam and Anunoby
  • Competition too good this year, take a step back to rebuild, let VanVleet etc. go
  • Need more to beat BKN, GSW, MIL, LAL, BOS, LAC as well as PHI, DAL, MIA, DEN

Continued... >

NBA Season And Playoffs Act 2020

Here is a potential idea and plan for how to finish the 2019-2020 NBA season and playoffs.

What

Teams - 20 Teams

  • 20 teams return to play
  • The top 8 teams in the East
  • The top 12 teams in the West

Exhibition - 15 Playoff Teams and Memphis

  • 4 Games - Top 1-4 teams in East play bottom 5-8 teams in West
  • 4 Games - Top 1-4 teams in West play bottom 5-8 teams in East
  • Play-In - 15 teams advance to playoffs, Memphis to Play-In

Tournament - 4 West Teams from 9-12

  • 3 Games - Teams 9-12 in the West play a round robin
  • 1 Game - Top 2 teams from round robin play single final game
  • Winner - The winner still only has a chance to make the playoffs

Play-In - Memphis and Tournament Winner

  • Best of 3 - Memphis plays tournament winner in best of 3 game series
  • 8th Spot - Play-In winner receives 8th seed in the West
  • Break - 15 playoff teams rest during 3 game play-in series

Playoffs - 16 Teams Best of 7

  • Best of 7 - Play a regular and full best of 7 game series playoffs

Continued... >

Raptors And Pelicans Trade Idea 2019

What And Why For Us - Raptors

  • Trade poor ball handlers - Miles, Anunoby, Ibaka, Valanciunas
  • Keep good ball handlers - VanVleet, Siakam, Wright
  • Trade future money to clear contracts - Lowry, Ibaka, Valanciunas, Miles
  • Keep core for chemistry, fans, future - Wright, Powell, Siakam, VanVleet
  • Gain young star player to combine with Siakam for future - Holiday
  • Gain stretch four and three point shooting for playoffs this year - Mirotic
  • Possible great team for both this year and next year with shot at title
  • Possible young stars lineup for future - Holiday, Leonard, Siakam, Davis

Trade

  • Pelicans - Raptors
  • Lowry - Davis
  • Ibaka - Holiday
  • Valanciunas - Mirotic
  • Anunoby - Hill
  • Miles - Johnson
  • 2021 1st Rd Pick - X
  • 2020 2nd Rd Pick - X

This Year

  • Holiday - VanVleet - Loyd
  • Green - Wright - McCaw
  • Leonard - Powell - Johnson
  • Siakam - Mirotic - Hill
  • Davis - Monroe - Boucher

Next Year

  • VanVleet - Loyd
  • Holiday - Wright
  • Leonard - Powell - Hill
  • Siakam - Boucher
  • Davis

What And Why For Them - Pelicans

  • Combine some current players along with some future players
  • Take poor contracts that Pelicans don't want to sweeten the deal - Hill, Johnson
  • Current players to have good team next year - Lowry, Moore, Anunoby, Randle, Ibaka
  • Future players along with Lowry or Ibaka going forward - Anunoby, Valanciunas, Picks
  • Get rid of all future contracts beyond next year, other than small Anunoby contract
  • Get potential young two way star with Anunoby and offensive threat with Valanciunas
  • Could sit Lowry and Valanciunas with injuries to increase odds of high pick in draft
  • Could trade Ibaka and/or Lowry next year - Jackson, Payton, Anunoby, Randle, Valanciunas

Edmonton Oilers Strategy Path 2015

What is the Oilers roster and who should play on lines together? I play armchair coach and try to make the best Oiler lines and depth chart from their current players.

After watching the majority of the Oilers games this season, I couldn't help but evaluate the players and start thinking of line combinations. So I thought I'd have a shot at what I think the Oilers and McLellan could do with their lines and roster. These lines are based on getting the most out of their current players, both for right now and looking forward to the future.

Warning - I'm Not A Scout Or Expert

OK, first of all, I do at least know Slepyshev is a left winger. And I realizeΒ moving Yakupov to play center is absolutely insane. MaybeΒ one way to put it is that I'm not smart enough to know just how insane it is. But with that said, I'm not a purely casual watcher, or completely uninformed. Even though I'm no scout and I have never played any high level hockey, I love watching what is actually going on in the game. I've watched fairly closely at times as I've enjoyed the games this season. And I've done a bit of reading about these players in coming up with this set of lines too.

But if you think one of these ideas is stupid, you are most likely right. I'm really just another guy with an opinion. I don't know the Oilers in and out like some people who have been avid fans for the last 5 years. And I certainly don't know as much as coaches, scouts, or ex-NHLers who actually evaluate players better than I ever could.Β Please write your own article about all the reasons Yakupov can't play center for instance, and contact me with the link. I'd be interested in reading it. Or even better, try to write down your own full set of lines and roster. It would be neat to see how other people think the lines and depth chart of the current Oilers should be drawn up and why.

Forwards

  • Line 1 - Hall - Nugent-Hopkins - Purcell
  • Line 2 - Draisaitl - McDavid - Eberle
  • Line 3 - Pouliot - Yakupov - Letestu
  • Line 4 - Korpikoski - Lander - Slepyshev

Defense

  • Pair 1 - Klefbom - Schultz
  • Pair 2 - Nurse - Reinhart
  • Pair 3 - Davidson - Sekera

Reserves

  • Forwards - Klinkhammer - Gazdic - Hendricks
  • Defense - Fayne - Ference

Continued... >